Purdue vs. Minnesota odds, line: 2020 college football picks, predictions from model on 39-21 run
The Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Purdue Boilermakers square off for the 76th time on Friday night in a Big Ten matchup with both teams looking to rebound from losses. Minnesota (1-3) was one of the great stories in college football last season but is off to a rocky start and was routed 35-7 by Iowa last week. The Boilermakers (2-1) suffered their first loss of the season, failing to rally in a 27-20 loss to unbeaten Northwestern. Minnesota leads the all-time series 39-33-3 and has not lost to Purdue at home since 2007.
Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Boilermakers are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Purdue vs. Minnesota odds at William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total points scored is 62. Before you consider any Minnesota vs. Purdue picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 39-21 on top-rated picks through 11 weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $1,000 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
- Purdue vs. Minnesota: Boilermakers -2.5
- Purdue vs. Minnesota over-under: 62
- Purdue vs. Minnesota money line: Purdue -140, Minnesota +120
- PU: WR David Bell has at least nine receptions in his last six games, topping 100 yards in five
- MINN: RB Mohamed Ibrahim has at least 140 yards in his past five games, including the Outback Bowl in January
Why Purdue can cover
Purdue is 17-7 against the spread in its last 24 games following an ATS loss, and the Boilermakers showed last week they can hang with good teams. Aidan O’Connell threw for 263 yards and two touchdowns, and the defense held No. 19 Northwestern under 300 yards, but the Boilermakers struggled to run against its 13th-ranked rushing defense. Minnesota allows 237.5 rushing yards per game (118th in FBS), so the offense should be more balanced this week.
Zander Horvath had just 21 yards on 10 carries last week, but he is averaging 4.8 yards per carry for the Boilermakers, who are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. O’Connell has thrown for 916 yards and seven TDs, four of those to receiver David Bell, who has 31 catches for 321 yards. Milton Wright averages more than 13 yards per catch, and Horvath has 17 receptions.
Why Minnesota can cover
Minnesota is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven games following a double-digit loss at home, and the Gophers have an experienced offense back that led the team to 11 wins last year. The Golden Gophers offense averages 407.5 yards per game, and elite running back Mohamed Ibrahim is the catalyst. The junior leads the nation in rushing yards per game at 178.8, and he has scored 10 TDs. He averages 5.5 yards per carry and also has eight receptions for 56 yards.
The Golden Gophers, who are 18-4-4 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss, also can move it through the air. Tanner Morgan has thrown for 769 yards but has just four TD passes against four interceptions. He can light it up when he gets in a rhythm with receivers Rashod Bateman (32 catches, 413 yards) and Chris Autman-Bell (nine catches, 20.7-yard average).
How to make Purdue vs. Minnesota picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the model suggesting the teams will combine for more than 70 points. It also says one side of the spread is cashing in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Minnesota vs. Purdue? And which side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Purdue vs. Minnesota spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up almost $3,900 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.
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