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The Fantasy Blueprint: Week 2 

this. If you want my best bets, they’ll be at the top of the page on Saturday. If you need live Vegas odds, go here. If you simply just want my weekly rankings, subscribe here for $3.99 per month and use promo code WINKS10 for 10% off. If you have other questions, reach out on Twitter (@HaydenWinks) and remember to COMMAND + F to quickly search for your players throughout the column.” data-reactid=”12″>Posted Thursday and updated Friday, “The Fantasy Blueprint” will get you the stats and information that actually matter for fantasy football, and it will be produced in a way that doesn’t waste our time. If you don’t know what “Fantasy Usage” is, read this. If you want my best bets, they’ll be at the top of the page on Saturday. If you need live Vegas odds, go here. If you simply just want my weekly rankings, subscribe here for $3.99 per month and use promo code WINKS10 for 10% off. If you have other questions, reach out on Twitter (@HaydenWinks) and remember to COMMAND + F to quickly search for your players throughout the column.

Miles Sanders injury, while the Seahawks were forced by a mean Twitter attack of the #LetRussCook hashtag. On the flip side, the Vikings and Bucs’ game plans were disastrously run heavy. Hopefully that changes. ” data-reactid=”37″>This shows how often each offense called a pass play while the situation was in a neutral situation, which I define as being when the in-game winning percentage is between 25 and 75% and when there’s more than two minutes left in each half. The Eagles were forced into a pass-heavy attack with Miles Sanders injury, while the Seahawks were forced by a mean Twitter attack of the #LetRussCook hashtag. On the flip side, the Vikings and Bucs’ game plans were disastrously run heavy. Hopefully that changes. 

Lamar Jackson is a bad process. He’s a total outlier and should be treated as one. His 8.2% TD rate since 2019 is still probably unsustainable still, but he won’t regress too far below that until the NFL figures out how to defend his dual-threat abilities and downfield weapons. The Texans’ coaching staff and defensive roster have almost zero shot at doing so, as Vegas’ 29.5-point team total suggests. Lamar, Mahomes, and Russ are in a tier of their own right now. … Mark Andrews took the routes run leap he needed to vault into the Kelce/Kittle tier at tight end. Including garbage time, Andrews ran a route on 87% of the Ravens’ Week 1 dropbacks after sitting at 61% last season due to injuries and Hurst’s role. Neither are barriers right now, making Andrews an elite fantasy option. The Texans just allowed a 6-50-1 receiving line to Kelce and were 22nd against tight ends in 2020. … Marquise Brown will be an efficiency outlier all season given his separation skills and fit with Lamar. Last week, he saw a team-high 114 air yards and ran a route on 81% of the Week 1 dropbacks — a number far lower in 2019 due to Brown’s foot injury. Brown will be shadowed by the beatable CB Bradley Roby this Sunday while the Texans pray that Lamar doesn’t hang 40 points on their face. Brown is a high-ceiling WR2/3. … Miles Boykin and Willie Snead are on the field but remain distant third and fourth options in an offense that passed the ball only 36% of the time in neutral game script last week (31st). They’re always candidates to score a random touchdown, however.” data-reactid=”67″>Comparing historical passing baseline stats to Lamar Jackson is a bad process. He’s a total outlier and should be treated as one. His 8.2% TD rate since 2019 is still probably unsustainable still, but he won’t regress too far below that until the NFL figures out how to defend his dual-threat abilities and downfield weapons. The Texans’ coaching staff and defensive roster have almost zero shot at doing so, as Vegas’ 29.5-point team total suggests. Lamar, Mahomes, and Russ are in a tier of their own right now. … Mark Andrews took the routes run leap he needed to vault into the Kelce/Kittle tier at tight end. Including garbage time, Andrews ran a route on 87% of the Ravens’ Week 1 dropbacks after sitting at 61% last season due to injuries and Hurst’s role. Neither are barriers right now, making Andrews an elite fantasy option. The Texans just allowed a 6-50-1 receiving line to Kelce and were 22nd against tight ends in 2020. … Marquise Brown will be an efficiency outlier all season given his separation skills and fit with Lamar. Last week, he saw a team-high 114 air yards and ran a route on 81% of the Week 1 dropbacks — a number far lower in 2019 due to Brown’s foot injury. Brown will be shadowed by the beatable CB Bradley Roby this Sunday while the Texans pray that Lamar doesn’t hang 40 points on their face. Brown is a high-ceiling WR2/3. … Miles Boykin and Willie Snead are on the field but remain distant third and fourth options in an offense that passed the ball only 36% of the time in neutral game script last week (31st). They’re always candidates to score a random touchdown, however.

Mark Ingram started Week 1 but lost snaps to both J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards in the opener. Not ideal, especially if the two goal-line scores Dobbins had were game-plan related instead of just random timing. This committee will be difficult to peg early in the season, but we still want pieces of this offense against vulnerable defenses like Houston. Ingram and Dobbins are efficiency-based flex plays with low floors. I’ll take Dobbins over Ingram for the rest of the season, as I think he’s simply the better talent.” data-reactid=”68″>Mark Ingram started Week 1 but lost snaps to both J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards in the opener. Not ideal, especially if the two goal-line scores Dobbins had were game-plan related instead of just random timing. This committee will be difficult to peg early in the season, but we still want pieces of this offense against vulnerable defenses like Houston. Ingram and Dobbins are efficiency-based flex plays with low floors. I’ll take Dobbins over Ingram for the rest of the season, as I think he’s simply the better talent.

 

here to unlock the rest of my personal weekly positional rankings for only $3.99 per month. Use promo code: WINKS10 for 10% off.” data-reactid=”75″>Brown is my WR20 this week. Subscribe to Rotoworld EDGE+ here to unlock the rest of my personal weekly positional rankings for only $3.99 per month. Use promo code: WINKS10 for 10% off.

 

 

Ezekiel Elliott” data-reactid=”97″>RB11 Ezekiel Elliott

Amari Cooper” data-reactid=”98″>WR4 Amari Cooper

CeeDee Lamb” data-reactid=”99″>WR45 CeeDee Lamb

Michael Gallup” data-reactid=”100″>WR70 Michael Gallup

Dalton Schultz” data-reactid=”101″>TE20 Dalton Schultz

 

Dak Prescott has top-four fantasy potential. That’s especially true at home against the no-pass-rush Falcons, who were just lit on fire by Russ Wilson (4 TDs) last weekend. Vegas projects Dallas to score 28.5 points, the second-highest team total of the week. … Blake Jarwin (ACL) is on injured reserve, opening up TE2/3 streamer appeal to backup Dalton Schultz, who had TE20 fantasy usage in Week 1. Unfortunately, Schultz is a 20th-percentile athlete and fifth in line for targets. Still, Schultz’s touchdown projection keeps in the mix in deep leagues. … Amari Cooper was the most-involved receiver of Week 1 despite drawing CB Jalen Ramsey in coverage. He’s firmly inside the top-10 receiver rankings right now, particularly with Atlanta coming to Dallas for Week 2. Both Metcalf and Lockett shredded the Falcons last week. Expect Cooper to do the same. … Michael Gallup’s WR70 fantasy usage (5 targets, 76 air yards) from Week 1 was confusing. He was neck-and-neck with Cooper last season, however, so I’m giving Gallup the benefit of the doubt as a WR3 ahead of Week 2. His 96% route runs will translate to spiked weeks. … CeeDee Lamb ran a route on 88% of the Cowboys’ dropbacks and now solidifies himself as the third or fourth option with Jarwin on IR. Lamb is explosive with the ball in his hands and plays the valuable slot role (90% of snaps) that Randall freaking Cobb had fantasy success with last season. Lamb is a WR4 with upside. … ” data-reactid=”104″>Despite the loss, the Cowboys showed signs of life in Week 1. They played at the fastest pace and passed at the seventh-highest rate in neutral situations, confirmation that Dak Prescott has top-four fantasy potential. That’s especially true at home against the no-pass-rush Falcons, who were just lit on fire by Russ Wilson (4 TDs) last weekend. Vegas projects Dallas to score 28.5 points, the second-highest team total of the week. … Blake Jarwin (ACL) is on injured reserve, opening up TE2/3 streamer appeal to backup Dalton Schultz, who had TE20 fantasy usage in Week 1. Unfortunately, Schultz is a 20th-percentile athlete and fifth in line for targets. Still, Schultz’s touchdown projection keeps in the mix in deep leagues. … Amari Cooper was the most-involved receiver of Week 1 despite drawing CB Jalen Ramsey in coverage. He’s firmly inside the top-10 receiver rankings right now, particularly with Atlanta coming to Dallas for Week 2. Both Metcalf and Lockett shredded the Falcons last week. Expect Cooper to do the same. … Michael Gallup’s WR70 fantasy usage (5 targets, 76 air yards) from Week 1 was confusing. He was neck-and-neck with Cooper last season, however, so I’m giving Gallup the benefit of the doubt as a WR3 ahead of Week 2. His 96% route runs will translate to spiked weeks. … CeeDee Lamb ran a route on 88% of the Cowboys’ dropbacks and now solidifies himself as the third or fourth option with Jarwin on IR. Lamb is explosive with the ball in his hands and plays the valuable slot role (90% of snaps) that Randall freaking Cobb had fantasy success with last season. Lamb is a WR4 with upside. … 

Ezekiel Elliott stands to benefit from the Cowboys’ increased play speed and status as 5-point home favorites — he’s averaged 23.4 PPR points in 36 career wins. In this explosive offense, Zeke is in the conversation for the No. 2 overall spot in fantasy for Week 2 and beyond. Chris Carson finished as the RB7 overall last week against the Falcons. It’s an obvious smash spot. … Tony Pollard doesn’t have any standalone value, finishing as the RB61 in fantasy usage in Week 1.” data-reactid=”105″>Ezekiel Elliott stands to benefit from the Cowboys’ increased play speed and status as 5-point home favorites — he’s averaged 23.4 PPR points in 36 career wins. In this explosive offense, Zeke is in the conversation for the No. 2 overall spot in fantasy for Week 2 and beyond. Chris Carson finished as the RB7 overall last week against the Falcons. It’s an obvious smash spot. … Tony Pollard doesn’t have any standalone value, finishing as the RB61 in fantasy usage in Week 1.

 

 

Ronald Jones” data-reactid=”127″>RB20 Ronald Jones

Leonard Fournette” data-reactid=”128″>RB64 Leonard Fournette

Chris Godwin (questionable)” data-reactid=”129″>WR36 Chris Godwin (questionable)

Mike Evans (questionable)” data-reactid=”130″>NA Mike Evans (questionable)

Scotty Miller” data-reactid=”131″>WR54 Scotty Miller

O.J. Howard” data-reactid=”132″>TE15 O.J. Howard

Rob Gronkowski” data-reactid=”133″>TE28 Rob Gronkowski

 

Tom Brady, but his on-field play-calling did as well; the Bucs were 29th in neutral-situation pass rate (36%). It’s a major concern for Brady’s status as a top-12 fantasy quarterback, especially with Evans (hamstring) and Godwin (concussion) up in the air. The saving grace is the home matchup against the youngest defense in the NFL. Brady is a rebound candidate in Week 2 as a borderline QB1/2. If he fails here, it’s time to panic. … Rob Gronkowski started and ran more routes (23) than O.J. Howard (22), but Howard is the better bet for fantasy production right now. Howard played in crunch time late in the game and lined up on the outside of Gronk in two-TE sets. Howard also outperformed Gronk in fantasy usage, TE15 to TE28. On tape, Gronk looked rusty, while Howard looked explosive. Even in an awesome matchup — we can ignore the Panthers’ No. 4 defense against fantasy tight ends with Keuchly retired — Gronk is a touchdown-dependent TE2. Howard can be a top-20 option without a score. … WR write-ups will be added Friday following official injury reports. …” data-reactid=”136″>Arians’ post-game comments showed his displeasure with Tom Brady, but his on-field play-calling did as well; the Bucs were 29th in neutral-situation pass rate (36%). It’s a major concern for Brady’s status as a top-12 fantasy quarterback, especially with Evans (hamstring) and Godwin (concussion) up in the air. The saving grace is the home matchup against the youngest defense in the NFL. Brady is a rebound candidate in Week 2 as a borderline QB1/2. If he fails here, it’s time to panic. … Rob Gronkowski started and ran more routes (23) than O.J. Howard (22), but Howard is the better bet for fantasy production right now. Howard played in crunch time late in the game and lined up on the outside of Gronk in two-TE sets. Howard also outperformed Gronk in fantasy usage, TE15 to TE28. On tape, Gronk looked rusty, while Howard looked explosive. Even in an awesome matchup — we can ignore the Panthers’ No. 4 defense against fantasy tight ends with Keuchly retired — Gronk is a touchdown-dependent TE2. Howard can be a top-20 option without a score. … WR write-ups will be added Friday following official injury reports. …

Ronald Jones had far more fantasy usage (RB20) than Leonard Fournette (RB64), who only played nine snaps following his mid-week signing. I’m expecting Fournette’s snap counts to rise throughout September, but RoJo is the favorite for Week 2 production in this tasty matchup against the worst run defense in the NFL (32nd in rush EPA defense and 31st against fantasy RBs). As 9.5-point favorites, Jones has boom-bust RB2 appeal.” data-reactid=”137″>Ronald Jones had far more fantasy usage (RB20) than Leonard Fournette (RB64), who only played nine snaps following his mid-week signing. I’m expecting Fournette’s snap counts to rise throughout September, but RoJo is the favorite for Week 2 production in this tasty matchup against the worst run defense in the NFL (32nd in rush EPA defense and 31st against fantasy RBs). As 9.5-point favorites, Jones has boom-bust RB2 appeal.

 

 

Clyde Edwards-Helaire” data-reactid=”159″>RB1 Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Tyreek Hill (vs. Chris Harris)” data-reactid=”160″>WR47 Tyreek Hill (vs. Chris Harris)

Sammy Watkins (vs. Casey Hayward)” data-reactid=”161″>WR8 Sammy Watkins (vs. Casey Hayward)

Demarcus Robinson” data-reactid=”162″>WR43 Demarcus Robinson

Mecole Hardman” data-reactid=”163″>WR125 Mecole Hardman

Travis Kelce” data-reactid=”164″>TE9 Travis Kelce

 

Patrick Mahomes continued where he left off in the season opener but just attempted fewer passes than normal given the scoreboard. It’s not a concern moving forward, although the Chargers’ defense has historically held Mahomes in check (11.1, 15.2, 18.0, and 23.2 fantasy points). I’ll slide Lamar ahead of Mahomes for this week, but that’s not a slight on my MVP bet Mahomes. … Travis Kelce is already cashing in on his positive touchdown regression after somehow converting 2-of-19 red zone targets in scores last season. Kelce is the TE1 overall in just about every matchup and has all-time top-10 fantasy tight end potential within his range of outcomes. The Chargers’ seventh-ranked defense against tight ends from last year needs to be discounted following Derwin James’ injury. I’m throwing Kelce’s 8.4 PPR career average against these Chargers out the window. … Tyreek Hill’s week-to-week volume can come and go, but he’s the same locked-in WR1/2 as he was last season even in tough matchups like this one against CB Chris Harris. Hill has only averaged 13.6 PPR points against L.A. in four games with Mahomes but is one play away from finishing as a top-five receiver. The 28-point team total keeps Hill inside the top-10 receivers of the week. … As he did in the 2019 NFL Playoffs, Sammy Watkins played (29 of 35 routes) well ahead of gadget players Hardman (12) and Robinson (17). It’s not a surprise, especially considering how much Watkins’ mental health has improved recently. Watkins looked explosive, separated with ease, and ultimately led KC in fantasy usage (WR8) and production (WR10) in the opener. He’s a top-36 boom-bust fantasy receiver until proven otherwise, including against Defensive Player of Week 1 CB Casey Hayward. … Mecole Hardman (aka “Mecole Handcuff” or “Mecole HardNo in the seventh Round”) is the best insurance receiver in fantasy. He’s still a big-play threat, but not one that will see enough volume to flex even in 12-team leagues for now. …” data-reactid=”167″>Patrick Mahomes continued where he left off in the season opener but just attempted fewer passes than normal given the scoreboard. It’s not a concern moving forward, although the Chargers’ defense has historically held Mahomes in check (11.1, 15.2, 18.0, and 23.2 fantasy points). I’ll slide Lamar ahead of Mahomes for this week, but that’s not a slight on my MVP bet Mahomes. … Travis Kelce is already cashing in on his positive touchdown regression after somehow converting 2-of-19 red zone targets in scores last season. Kelce is the TE1 overall in just about every matchup and has all-time top-10 fantasy tight end potential within his range of outcomes. The Chargers’ seventh-ranked defense against tight ends from last year needs to be discounted following Derwin James’ injury. I’m throwing Kelce’s 8.4 PPR career average against these Chargers out the window. … Tyreek Hill’s week-to-week volume can come and go, but he’s the same locked-in WR1/2 as he was last season even in tough matchups like this one against CB Chris Harris. Hill has only averaged 13.6 PPR points against L.A. in four games with Mahomes but is one play away from finishing as a top-five receiver. The 28-point team total keeps Hill inside the top-10 receivers of the week. … As he did in the 2019 NFL Playoffs, Sammy Watkins played (29 of 35 routes) well ahead of gadget players Hardman (12) and Robinson (17). It’s not a surprise, especially considering how much Watkins’ mental health has improved recently. Watkins looked explosive, separated with ease, and ultimately led KC in fantasy usage (WR8) and production (WR10) in the opener. He’s a top-36 boom-bust fantasy receiver until proven otherwise, including against Defensive Player of Week 1 CB Casey Hayward. … Mecole Hardman (aka “Mecole Handcuff” or “Mecole HardNo in the seventh Round”) is the best insurance receiver in fantasy. He’s still a big-play threat, but not one that will see enough volume to flex even in 12-team leagues for now. …

Clyde Edwards-Helaire looked the part as a shift ball carrier and, more importantly, was the Chiefs goal-line back as he played on all inside-the-10 snaps in Week 1. That role alone makes him a top-6 fantasy asset moving forward and there’s a much bigger ceiling if he’s more involved on third downs. Darrel Williams subbed in frequently on third downs, likely because of CEH’s inexperience as a pass protector, but I expect that to change in the near future. Kansas City was 28th in percentage of pass plays that a RB blocked on last season, and CEH was an elite pass catcher in college. I value CEH as a top-five fantasy back for the rest of the season. Williams (RB53 fantasy usage) is a strong insurance bench asset.” data-reactid=”168″>Clyde Edwards-Helaire looked the part as a shift ball carrier and, more importantly, was the Chiefs goal-line back as he played on all inside-the-10 snaps in Week 1. That role alone makes him a top-6 fantasy asset moving forward and there’s a much bigger ceiling if he’s more involved on third downs. Darrel Williams subbed in frequently on third downs, likely because of CEH’s inexperience as a pass protector, but I expect that to change in the near future. Kansas City was 28th in percentage of pass plays that a RB blocked on last season, and CEH was an elite pass catcher in college. I value CEH as a top-five fantasy back for the rest of the season. Williams (RB53 fantasy usage) is a strong insurance bench asset.

 

 

Aaron Jones” data-reactid=”190″>RB2 Aaron Jones

Jamaal Williams” data-reactid=”191″>RB25 Jamaal Williams

Davante Adams” data-reactid=”192″>WR1 Davante Adams

Marquez Valdes-Scantling” data-reactid=”193″>WR55 Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Allen Lazard” data-reactid=”194″>WR58 Allen Lazard

 

Aaron Rodgers went ham against an awful Minnesota CB corps and got an equally bad Detroit CB corps for Week 2. All three starting corners have been on injury reports with hamstring injuries, and none have a shot against Adams. The Packers were sixth in neutral-situation pass rate last week and have the fifth-best Vegas-projected team total (27.5) this week. Rodgers is a borderline top-eight fantasy quarterback. He had 19.0 and 18.3 PPR points against Detroit last year. … Five Packers tight ends ran a route in Week 1, but none of them had a 50% routes run share. … Davante Adams easily is the WR1 overall. He had 32.1 expected fantasy points based on his usage in Week 1. Second was down at 23.4. The Lions’ banged-up secondary has approximately 0% change at stopping Adams from seeing 10+ targets. Detroit was 31st against fantasy receivers in 2019. … Allen Lazard (WR55) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR58) had very similar fantasy usage last week, although Lazard started and ran more routes, 39 to 30 out of 45 dropbacks. Their volume will be up-and-down, but both are WR5 if Rodgers is back to playing well. … ” data-reactid=”197″>Angry Aaron Rodgers went ham against an awful Minnesota CB corps and got an equally bad Detroit CB corps for Week 2. All three starting corners have been on injury reports with hamstring injuries, and none have a shot against Adams. The Packers were sixth in neutral-situation pass rate last week and have the fifth-best Vegas-projected team total (27.5) this week. Rodgers is a borderline top-eight fantasy quarterback. He had 19.0 and 18.3 PPR points against Detroit last year. … Five Packers tight ends ran a route in Week 1, but none of them had a 50% routes run share. … Davante Adams easily is the WR1 overall. He had 32.1 expected fantasy points based on his usage in Week 1. Second was down at 23.4. The Lions’ banged-up secondary has approximately 0% change at stopping Adams from seeing 10+ targets. Detroit was 31st against fantasy receivers in 2019. … Allen Lazard (WR55) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (WR58) had very similar fantasy usage last week, although Lazard started and ran more routes, 39 to 30 out of 45 dropbacks. Their volume will be up-and-down, but both are WR5 if Rodgers is back to playing well. … 

Aaron Jones had a great matchup in Week 1 and got another in Week 2 against Detroit’s No. 27 defense against fantasy tight ends. Jones’ 54% snap share will be problematic in worse game environments, but he has the goal-line role for now and still ran more routes (24 out of 45) than change-of-pace back Jamaal Williams. I’d very much consider selling Jones next week after smashing the Lions this weekend.” data-reactid=”198″>Aaron Jones had a great matchup in Week 1 and got another in Week 2 against Detroit’s No. 27 defense against fantasy tight ends. Jones’ 54% snap share will be problematic in worse game environments, but he has the goal-line role for now and still ran more routes (24 out of 45) than change-of-pace back Jamaal Williams. I’d very much consider selling Jones next week after smashing the Lions this weekend.

Get all of our Season Tools, League Sync AND DFS Tools for as low as $7.99/month!” data-reactid=”199″>Editor’s Note: Unlock the brand new League Sync! Keep track of all your Yahoo! teams in one place and use our Trade Analyzer, Free Agent Finder, Lineup Adviser and custom projections to make all the right roster decisions!  Get all of our Season Tools, League Sync AND DFS Tools for as low as $7.99/month!

 

 

Kenyan Drake (game script bump)” data-reactid=”221″>RB27 Kenyan Drake (game script bump)

Chase Edmonds” data-reactid=”222″>RB30 Chase Edmonds

DeAndre Hopkins” data-reactid=”223″>WR3 DeAndre Hopkins

Christian Kirk” data-reactid=”224″>WR68 Christian Kirk

Larry Fitzgerald” data-reactid=”225″>WR77 Larry Fitzgerald

Dan Arnold” data-reactid=”226″>TE50 Dan Arnold

Maxx Williams” data-reactid=”227″>TE51 Maxx Williams

 

Kyler Murray welcomes an elite front four to the Desert. He’ll be under pressure but has the weapons to pick apart this bad secondary and the legs to scramble past a below-average linebacker group. Murray’s chemistry with Nuk Hopkins is very encouraging for the upside of this offense. They ran the second-most plays of Week 1 thanks for their 5th-ranked neutral-situation offensive pace. Murray is a borderline top-five quarterback. … Dan Arnold (TE50 usage) and Maxx Williams (TE51 usage) are desperation punts against Washington’s No. 29 defense versus fantasy tight ends. … DeAndre Hopkins’ 40% target share and 54% air yards share was one of the big surprises of the week. He’s set up to smash as a locked-in top-three fantasy receiver in this fast-paced air raid offense, particularly with Washington playing at a much faster rate themselves. … Christian Kirk is in a spot for success, but he’s been bad for 12 months (6.3 YPT) and only saw 12% of the Cardinals’ Week 1 targets, good for WR68 fantasy usage on the week. I expect all of those numbers to increase, although I worry he doesn’t pay off as a WR3/4 on average with Kliff having better players to scheme the ball to. If Kirk fails here, it’s time to panic. … I’ll let you guys work with Larry Fitzgerald’s WR77 fantasy usage. … I’ve heard of worse min-priced DFS tournament stack plays than 4.3-speed Andy Isabella, who is expected to play a few more snaps as the clear-cut No. 4 receiver in four-WR sets. He’s well off the radar in season-long leagues. … ” data-reactid=”230″>Fresh off an impressive road victory, Kyler Murray welcomes an elite front four to the Desert. He’ll be under pressure but has the weapons to pick apart this bad secondary and the legs to scramble past a below-average linebacker group. Murray’s chemistry with Nuk Hopkins is very encouraging for the upside of this offense. They ran the second-most plays of Week 1 thanks for their 5th-ranked neutral-situation offensive pace. Murray is a borderline top-five quarterback. … Dan Arnold (TE50 usage) and Maxx Williams (TE51 usage) are desperation punts against Washington’s No. 29 defense versus fantasy tight ends. … DeAndre Hopkins’ 40% target share and 54% air yards share was one of the big surprises of the week. He’s set up to smash as a locked-in top-three fantasy receiver in this fast-paced air raid offense, particularly with Washington playing at a much faster rate themselves. … Christian Kirk is in a spot for success, but he’s been bad for 12 months (6.3 YPT) and only saw 12% of the Cardinals’ Week 1 targets, good for WR68 fantasy usage on the week. I expect all of those numbers to increase, although I worry he doesn’t pay off as a WR3/4 on average with Kliff having better players to scheme the ball to. If Kirk fails here, it’s time to panic. … I’ll let you guys work with Larry Fitzgerald’s WR77 fantasy usage. … I’ve heard of worse min-priced DFS tournament stack plays than 4.3-speed Andy Isabella, who is expected to play a few more snaps as the clear-cut No. 4 receiver in four-WR sets. He’s well off the radar in season-long leagues. … 

Kenyan Drake (70% snaps) was spelled by Chase Edmonds (34%) more than expected, but that’s not too surprising because Drake has never handled more than 170 carries in a season including college. Drake still has the edge near the goal-line and on passing downs (27 to 15 routes run), plus will be one of the most-efficient ball carriers in this beautifully-scripted scheme. Drake is on the RB1/2 borderline as 7-point home favorites. Edmonds is a 14-team desperation flex and fantasy’s best insurance back in all formats. He looked really good on tape.” data-reactid=”231″>Kenyan Drake (70% snaps) was spelled by Chase Edmonds (34%) more than expected, but that’s not too surprising because Drake has never handled more than 170 carries in a season including college. Drake still has the edge near the goal-line and on passing downs (27 to 15 routes run), plus will be one of the most-efficient ball carriers in this beautifully-scripted scheme. Drake is on the RB1/2 borderline as 7-point home favorites. Edmonds is a 14-team desperation flex and fantasy’s best insurance back in all formats. He looked really good on tape.

 

 

Alvin Kamara” data-reactid=”253″>RB6 Alvin Kamara

Latavius Murray” data-reactid=”254″>RB18 Latavius Murray

Emmanuel Sanders (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”255″>WR20 Emmanuel Sanders (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

Josh Hill” data-reactid=”256″>WR108 Josh Hill

Deonte Harris” data-reactid=”257″>WR112 Deonte Harris

Tre’Quan Smith” data-reactid=”258″>WR124 Tre’Quan Smith

Jared Cook” data-reactid=”259″>TE10 Jared Cook

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Jonathan Taylor” data-reactid=”284″>RB15 Jonathan Taylor

Nyheim Hines” data-reactid=”285″>RB8 Nyheim Hines

T.Y. Hilton (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”286″>WR21 T.Y. Hilton (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

Parris Campbell” data-reactid=”287″>WR19 Parris Campbell

Zach Pascal (questionable)” data-reactid=”288″>WR83 Zach Pascal (questionable)

Michael Pittman” data-reactid=”289″>WR100 Michael Pittman

Jack Doyle (questionable)” data-reactid=”290″>TE19 Jack Doyle (questionable)

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Derrick Henry” data-reactid=”315″>RB4 Derrick Henry

A.J. Brown (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”316″>WR26 A.J. Brown (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

Corey Davis (questionable)” data-reactid=”317″>WR33 Corey Davis (questionable)

Adam Humphries” data-reactid=”318″>WR42 Adam Humphries

Jonnu Smith” data-reactid=”319″>TE8 Jonnu Smith

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Raheem Mostert” data-reactid=”344″>RB17 Raheem Mostert

Jerick McKinnon” data-reactid=”345″>RB19 Jerick McKinnon

Brandon Aiyuk (questionable)” data-reactid=”346″>NA Brandon Aiyuk (questionable)

Trent Taylor” data-reactid=”347″>WR40 Trent Taylor

Kendrick Bourne” data-reactid=”348″>WR50 Kendrick Bourne

Mohamed Sanu (questionable)” data-reactid=”349″>NA Mohamed Sanu (questionable)

George Kittle” data-reactid=”350″>TE14 George Kittle

Jordan Reed” data-reactid=”351″>TE41 Jordan Reed

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Nick Chubb (game script bump)” data-reactid=”376″>RB56 Nick Chubb (game script bump)

Kareem Hunt” data-reactid=”377″>RB21 Kareem Hunt

Odell Beckham (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”378″>WR14 Odell Beckham (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

Jarvis Landry” data-reactid=”379″>WR53 Jarvis Landry

Austin Hooper” data-reactid=”380″>TE39 Austin Hooper

David Njoku (out)” data-reactid=”381″>TE22 David Njoku (out)

 

Baker Mayfield was awful in Week 1, as he was for the entire 2019 season. I’m assuming he stinks until he proves otherwise. Luckily, he catches a vulnerable Bengals Defense at home on a short week. Mayfield has had success against Cincy historically with 20.1, 11.0, 25.0, and 25.9 point games since 2018. That’s why Vegas remains relatively bullish on the Browns with their 24.75-point implied point total. Mayfield is a low-end QB2. … Despite leaving early and ending on injured reserve, David Njoku (knee) finished with more targets and air yards than free-agency splash Austin Hooper, who only saw two targets and a measly 15 air yards in Week 1. Better days are certainly coming, but how many pieces can Mayfield keep alive for fantasy purposes? Hooper at least ran a route on 65% of the Browns’ dropbacks in Week 1’s blowout loss. He’s a zero-floor TE2. … From The Fantasy Usage Model, “Odell Beckham was one of the biggest positive regression candidates of the offseason, yet he ends up here as a value after his disastrous Week 1 performance. Despite 129 air yards and 10 targets (WR14 fantasy usage), Odell busted for 5.2 PPR points. He had a bad drop, but otherwise looked explosive as a big-play threat. The bigger issue is his chemistry with Mayfield, who I think is just bad at this point. The good news is that he catches the Bengals at home on a short week next. We’ll quickly learn if there’s any hope in Cleveland. I’ll be rolling the dice.” … Jarvis Landry (hip) appeared to be healthy in Week 1, leading the team in routes. It didn’t translate to much production (11.1 PPR points), although this week’s matchup is far easier as he gets away from Baltimore. Landry has averaged 11.4 PPR points against Cincy in four games with Mayfield. He’s a flex option. … KhaDarel Hodge ran more routes (26) than Rashard Higgins (10) and JoJo Natson (1) for those looking for cheap pivots in single-game DFS slates. …” data-reactid=”384″>Baker Mayfield was awful in Week 1, as he was for the entire 2019 season. I’m assuming he stinks until he proves otherwise. Luckily, he catches a vulnerable Bengals Defense at home on a short week. Mayfield has had success against Cincy historically with 20.1, 11.0, 25.0, and 25.9 point games since 2018. That’s why Vegas remains relatively bullish on the Browns with their 24.75-point implied point total. Mayfield is a low-end QB2. … Despite leaving early and ending on injured reserve, David Njoku (knee) finished with more targets and air yards than free-agency splash Austin Hooper, who only saw two targets and a measly 15 air yards in Week 1. Better days are certainly coming, but how many pieces can Mayfield keep alive for fantasy purposes? Hooper at least ran a route on 65% of the Browns’ dropbacks in Week 1’s blowout loss. He’s a zero-floor TE2. … From The Fantasy Usage Model, “Odell Beckham was one of the biggest positive regression candidates of the offseason, yet he ends up here as a value after his disastrous Week 1 performance. Despite 129 air yards and 10 targets (WR14 fantasy usage), Odell busted for 5.2 PPR points. He had a bad drop, but otherwise looked explosive as a big-play threat. The bigger issue is his chemistry with Mayfield, who I think is just bad at this point. The good news is that he catches the Bengals at home on a short week next. We’ll quickly learn if there’s any hope in Cleveland. I’ll be rolling the dice.” … Jarvis Landry (hip) appeared to be healthy in Week 1, leading the team in routes. It didn’t translate to much production (11.1 PPR points), although this week’s matchup is far easier as he gets away from Baltimore. Landry has averaged 11.4 PPR points against Cincy in four games with Mayfield. He’s a flex option. … KhaDarel Hodge ran more routes (26) than Rashard Higgins (10) and JoJo Natson (1) for those looking for cheap pivots in single-game DFS slates. …

Nick Chubb was a victim to negative game script in Week 1. He had a smaller touch share while trailing (15%) than Hunt (33%), who will be subbed in ahead of Chubb whenever the Browns are down multiple scores. Since Hunt was activated, Chubb has averaged 14.2 carries and 1.8 targets in losses (10 PPR) and 20.75 carries and 2.5 targets in wins (15.4 PPR). Fortunately, Chubb is a six-point home favorite against a team missing DTs Geno Atkins and Mike Daniels. He’s a rebound RB1/2 candidate in Week 2, but a game-script dependent RB2 long term. … Kareem Hunt is the exact opposite of Chubb. In wins, Hunt has averaged 6.75 carries and 5.75 targets (13.4 PPR), and in losses, he’s averaged 6.0 carries and 5.6 targets (11.8 PPR). This isn’t the projected game script that Hunt has excelled in. He’s an RB3 in PPR formats.” data-reactid=”385″>We knew this going into the game, but Nick Chubb was a victim to negative game script in Week 1. He had a smaller touch share while trailing (15%) than Hunt (33%), who will be subbed in ahead of Chubb whenever the Browns are down multiple scores. Since Hunt was activated, Chubb has averaged 14.2 carries and 1.8 targets in losses (10 PPR) and 20.75 carries and 2.5 targets in wins (15.4 PPR). Fortunately, Chubb is a six-point home favorite against a team missing DTs Geno Atkins and Mike Daniels. He’s a rebound RB1/2 candidate in Week 2, but a game-script dependent RB2 long term. … Kareem Hunt is the exact opposite of Chubb. In wins, Hunt has averaged 6.75 carries and 5.75 targets (13.4 PPR), and in losses, he’s averaged 6.0 carries and 5.6 targets (11.8 PPR). This isn’t the projected game script that Hunt has excelled in. He’s an RB3 in PPR formats.

 

 

James Conner (questionable)” data-reactid=”407″>NA James Conner (questionable)

Benny Snell” data-reactid=”408″>RB32 Benny Snell

Jaylen Samuels” data-reactid=”409″>RB75 Jaylen Samuels

JuJu Smith-Schuster” data-reactid=”410″>WR38 JuJu Smith-Schuster

Diontae Johnson” data-reactid=”411″>WR22 Diontae Johnson

James Washington” data-reactid=”412″>WR81 James Washington

Vance McDonald” data-reactid=”413″>TE31 Vance McDonald

Eric Ebron” data-reactid=”414″>TE33 Eric Ebron

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Malcolm Brown” data-reactid=”439″>RB13 Malcolm Brown

Cam Akers” data-reactid=”440″>RB40 Cam Akers

Robert Woods” data-reactid=”441″>WR24 Robert Woods

Cooper Kupp” data-reactid=”442″>WR56 Cooper Kupp

Tyler Higbee” data-reactid=”443″>TE25 Tyler Higbee

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Chris Carson” data-reactid=”468″>RB22 Chris Carson

DK Metcalf (vs. Stephon Gilmore)” data-reactid=”469″>WR34 DK Metcalf (vs. Stephon Gilmore)

Tyler Lockett (vs. Jonathan Jones)” data-reactid=”470″>WR37 Tyler Lockett (vs. Jonathan Jones)

David Moore” data-reactid=”471″>WR74 David Moore

Greg Olsen” data-reactid=”472″>TE21 Greg Olsen

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

David Montgomery” data-reactid=”497″>RB28 David Montgomery

Tarik Cohen” data-reactid=”498″>RB44 Tarik Cohen

Allen Robinson (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”499″>WR12 Allen Robinson (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

Anthony Miller” data-reactid=”500″>WR44 Anthony Miller

Jimmy Graham” data-reactid=”501″>TE4 Jimmy Graham

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Todd Gurley” data-reactid=”526″>RB12 Todd Gurley

Julio Jones” data-reactid=”527″>WR11 Julio Jones

Calvin Ridley” data-reactid=”528″>WR2 Calvin Ridley

Russell Gage” data-reactid=”529″>WR6 Russell Gage

Hayden Hurst” data-reactid=”530″>TE23 Hayden Hurst

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Zack Moss” data-reactid=”555″>RB7 Zack Moss

Devin Singletary” data-reactid=”556″>RB14 Devin Singletary

Stefon Diggs” data-reactid=”557″>WR15 Stefon Diggs

John Brown (questionable)” data-reactid=”558″>WR10 John Brown (questionable)

Cole Beasley” data-reactid=”559″>WR28 Cole Beasley

Dawson Knox” data-reactid=”560″>TE24 Dawson Knox

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Dalvin Cook” data-reactid=”585″>RB23 Dalvin Cook

Adam Thielen” data-reactid=”586″>WR27 Adam Thielen

Bisi Johnson” data-reactid=”587″>WR79 Bisi Johnson

Justin Jefferson” data-reactid=”588″>WR96 Justin Jefferson

Kyle Rudolph” data-reactid=”589″>TE35 Kyle Rudolph

Irv Smith” data-reactid=”590″>TE54 Irv Smith

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Miles Sanders (questionable)” data-reactid=”615″>NA Miles Sanders (questionable)

Boston Scott” data-reactid=”616″>RB51 Boston Scott

Zach Ertz” data-reactid=”617″>TE5 Zach Ertz

Dallas Goedert” data-reactid=”618″>TE6 Dallas Goedert

DeSean Jackson (vs. Jalen Ramsey)” data-reactid=”619″>WR39 DeSean Jackson (vs. Jalen Ramsey)

Greg Ward” data-reactid=”620″>WR51 Greg Ward

John Hightower” data-reactid=”621″>WR71 John Hightower

Jalen Reagor” data-reactid=”622″>WR72 Jalen Reagor

 

Carson Wentz led the NFL in air yards per attempt, as the Jackson and Reagor additions bring back a downfield element to the offense. The issue is the health of the offensive line, a problem that will be exposed by DT Aaron Donald this week. Wentz is a volume-based QB1/2 for as long as the line deals with injuries. … Zach Ertz is a 34-year-old Jason Witten clone, just with more volume. His chemistry with Wentz has saved him, but he really is a catch-and-fall player at this point. Still, targets will head Ertz’s way (TE5 usage in Week 1), and the Rams back-seven isn’t one to worry about (17th vs. fantasy tight ends in 2019). … The more-explosive Dallas Goedert deserves to steal targets from Ertz, and that’s what happened in Week 1. Goedert finished as the TE1 overall on TE6 fantasy usage while running a route on 61% of the Eagles’ dropbacks. With Sanders, Jackson, and Reagor not at full health, Goedert belongs on the TE1/2 borderline. … WR write-ups will be added on Friday following official injury reports. …” data-reactid=”625″>Last week, the Eagles had the highest neutral-situation pass rate (76%) in the NFL, and Carson Wentz led the NFL in air yards per attempt, as the Jackson and Reagor additions bring back a downfield element to the offense. The issue is the health of the offensive line, a problem that will be exposed by DT Aaron Donald this week. Wentz is a volume-based QB1/2 for as long as the line deals with injuries. … Zach Ertz is a 34-year-old Jason Witten clone, just with more volume. His chemistry with Wentz has saved him, but he really is a catch-and-fall player at this point. Still, targets will head Ertz’s way (TE5 usage in Week 1), and the Rams back-seven isn’t one to worry about (17th vs. fantasy tight ends in 2019). … The more-explosive Dallas Goedert deserves to steal targets from Ertz, and that’s what happened in Week 1. Goedert finished as the TE1 overall on TE6 fantasy usage while running a route on 61% of the Eagles’ dropbacks. With Sanders, Jackson, and Reagor not at full health, Goedert belongs on the TE1/2 borderline. … WR write-ups will be added on Friday following official injury reports. …

Miles Sanders (hamstring) practiced in full on Wednesday, a sign that he’ll be active on Sunday. He’s had weeks to rest, but it doesn’t guarantee that he’ll have his every-down role immediately. Still, Sanders belongs inside the top-12 running backs with Rams mediocre against the run (20th in rushing EPA defense). Ezekiel Elliott just dropped 27.7 PPR points against them last week.” data-reactid=”626″>Miles Sanders (hamstring) practiced in full on Wednesday, a sign that he’ll be active on Sunday. He’s had weeks to rest, but it doesn’t guarantee that he’ll have his every-down role immediately. Still, Sanders belongs inside the top-12 running backs with Rams mediocre against the run (20th in rushing EPA defense). Ezekiel Elliott just dropped 27.7 PPR points against them last week.

 

 

David Johnson” data-reactid=”648″>RB33 David Johnson

Duke Johnson (questionable)” data-reactid=”649″>RB67 Duke Johnson (questionable)

Will Fuller (vs. Marcus Peters)” data-reactid=”650″>WR17 Will Fuller (vs. Marcus Peters)

Brandin Cooks ” data-reactid=”651″>WR69 Brandin Cooks 

Randall Cobb (vs. Marlon Humphrey)” data-reactid=”652″>WR78 Randall Cobb (vs. Marlon Humphrey)

Jordan Akins” data-reactid=”653″>TE30 Jordan Akins

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Adrian Peterson” data-reactid=”678″>RB24 Adrian Peterson

D’Andre Swift” data-reactid=”679″>RB31 D’Andre Swift

Kenny Golladay (questionable)” data-reactid=”680″>NA Kenny Golladay (questionable)

Marvin Jones (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”681″>WR25 Marvin Jones (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

Quintez Cephus (Golladay’s role)” data-reactid=”682″>WR9 Quintez Cephus (Golladay’s role)

Danny Amendola” data-reactid=”683″>WR46 Danny Amendola

T.J. Hockenson” data-reactid=”684″>TE16 T.J. Hockenson

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Josh Jacobs” data-reactid=”709″>RB3 Josh Jacobs

Henry Ruggs” data-reactid=”710″>WR59 Henry Ruggs

Hunter Renfrow” data-reactid=”711″>WR95 Hunter Renfrow

Bryan Edwards (vs. Marshon Lattimore)” data-reactid=”712″>WR121 Bryan Edwards (vs. Marshon Lattimore)

Darren Waller” data-reactid=”713″>TE12 Darren Waller

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Peyton Barber” data-reactid=”738″>RB10 Peyton Barber

J.D. McKissic” data-reactid=”739″>RB35 J.D. McKissic

Antonio Gibson (game script bump)” data-reactid=”740″>RB43 Antonio Gibson (game script bump)

Terry McLaurin (vs. Patrick Peterson)” data-reactid=”741″>WR35 Terry McLaurin (vs. Patrick Peterson)

Dontrelle Inman” data-reactid=”742″>WR60 Dontrelle Inman

Steven Sims” data-reactid=”743″>WR87 Steven Sims

Logan Thomas” data-reactid=”744″>TE2 Logan Thomas

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

James White” data-reactid=”769″>RB50 James White

Sony Michel” data-reactid=”770″>RB52 Sony Michel

Rex Burkhead” data-reactid=”771″>RB69 Rex Burkhead

Julian Edelman” data-reactid=”772″>WR30 Julian Edelman

N’Keal Harry” data-reactid=”773″>WR48 N’Keal Harry

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Austin Ekeler” data-reactid=”798″>RB26 Austin Ekeler

Joshua Kelley” data-reactid=”799″>RB34 Joshua Kelley

Mike Williams” data-reactid=”800″>WR16 Mike Williams

Keenan Allen (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”801″>WR23 Keenan Allen (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

Hunter Henry” data-reactid=”802″>TE3 Hunter Henry

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Christian McCaffrey” data-reactid=”827″>RB9 Christian McCaffrey

D.J. Moore (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”828″>WR13 D.J. Moore (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

Curtis Samuel” data-reactid=”829″>WR32 Curtis Samuel

Robby Anderson” data-reactid=”830″>WR41 Robby Anderson

Ian Thomas” data-reactid=”831″>TE42 Ian Thomas

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Joe Mixon” data-reactid=”856″>RB29 Joe Mixon

Giovani Bernard” data-reactid=”857″>RB41 Giovani Bernard

A.J. Green (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”858″>WR18 A.J. Green (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

John Ross” data-reactid=”859″>WR67 John Ross

Tyler Boyd” data-reactid=”860″>WR75 Tyler Boyd

C.J. Uzomah” data-reactid=”861″>TE17 C.J. Uzomah

 

Joe Burrow looked like a rookie, but a good one. He improved as the game progressed, and he’ll learn to get the ball out quicker to overcome his horrendous offensive line. DE Myles Garrett will be a problem in Week 2, but the Browns’ injured secondary won’t — CBs Greedy Williams and Kevin Johnson are both out. Burrow’s underrated rushing ability keeps him inside my top-24 QB rankings despite Vegas’ low 18.75-point team total… C.J. Uzomah will be on the TE2 streamer radar moving forward after running a route on 71% of the Bengals’ dropbacks in Week 1. His five targets and 46 air yards were enough for TE17 fantasy usage. Mark Andrews has more talent in his toe nail than Uzomah has in his whole body, but Andrews did expose Cleveland with a 5-58-2 receiving line last Sunday… From The Fantasy Usage Model, “Even though it only equated to 10.1 PPR points, Green looked like a version of his old self and operated as the Bengals’ clear-cut top target (25% target share with WR18 fantasy usage) despite only running a route on 69% of the Bengals’ dropbacks as he works into playing shape. A softer matchup against the Browns’ injured secondary is the perfect buy low spot for Green, who was doubted all offseason by the fantasy community. Consider me a Green buyer as a WR3 rebound candidate.” … I’m more nervous about Tyler Boyd, who had WR75 usage despite Green’s two-thirds complement of snaps. Boyd needs the offense to improve to return to WR3/4 value, something that could happen based on the Browns’ banged up secondary. Boyd is a risky flex play… John Ross was very inconsistent Week 1, but he did run a route on 84% of the dropbacks and has 4.3-speed even if he’s dropping passes. Ross is a WR5/6 with big-play potential… Tee Higgins and Auden Tate ran nine routes each and will need an injury, benching, or switch to four-WR sets to be on the fantasy radar… ” data-reactid=”864″>Joe Burrow looked like a rookie, but a good one. He improved as the game progressed, and he’ll learn to get the ball out quicker to overcome his horrendous offensive line. DE Myles Garrett will be a problem in Week 2, but the Browns’ injured secondary won’t — CBs Greedy Williams and Kevin Johnson are both out. Burrow’s underrated rushing ability keeps him inside my top-24 QB rankings despite Vegas’ low 18.75-point team total… C.J. Uzomah will be on the TE2 streamer radar moving forward after running a route on 71% of the Bengals’ dropbacks in Week 1. His five targets and 46 air yards were enough for TE17 fantasy usage. Mark Andrews has more talent in his toe nail than Uzomah has in his whole body, but Andrews did expose Cleveland with a 5-58-2 receiving line last Sunday… From The Fantasy Usage Model, “Even though it only equated to 10.1 PPR points, Green looked like a version of his old self and operated as the Bengals’ clear-cut top target (25% target share with WR18 fantasy usage) despite only running a route on 69% of the Bengals’ dropbacks as he works into playing shape. A softer matchup against the Browns’ injured secondary is the perfect buy low spot for Green, who was doubted all offseason by the fantasy community. Consider me a Green buyer as a WR3 rebound candidate.” … I’m more nervous about Tyler Boyd, who had WR75 usage despite Green’s two-thirds complement of snaps. Boyd needs the offense to improve to return to WR3/4 value, something that could happen based on the Browns’ banged up secondary. Boyd is a risky flex play… John Ross was very inconsistent Week 1, but he did run a route on 84% of the dropbacks and has 4.3-speed even if he’s dropping passes. Ross is a WR5/6 with big-play potential… Tee Higgins and Auden Tate ran nine routes each and will need an injury, benching, or switch to four-WR sets to be on the fantasy radar… 

Joe Mixon’s Week 1 game was sub-par because he left with just two targets on 37% routes, while Giovani Bernard played in key passing downs late in the game. Mixon can still pay off RB1 value with his rushing and goal-line workload, but he needs to play more passing downs to reach a top-six RB ceiling. A road matchup as six-point dogs typically is a matchup to avoid, but the Browns are missing two linebackers in this matchup and were 29th in rushing EPA defense in 2019. Mixon posted 30.6 and 27.6 PPR totals against these Browns in 2019.” data-reactid=”865″>It was a tough matchup, but Joe Mixon’s Week 1 game was sub-par because he left with just two targets on 37% routes, while Giovani Bernard played in key passing downs late in the game. Mixon can still pay off RB1 value with his rushing and goal-line workload, but he needs to play more passing downs to reach a top-six RB ceiling. A road matchup as six-point dogs typically is a matchup to avoid, but the Browns are missing two linebackers in this matchup and were 29th in rushing EPA defense in 2019. Mixon posted 30.6 and 27.6 PPR totals against these Browns in 2019.

 

 

Saquon Barkley” data-reactid=”887″>RB5 Saquon Barkley

Darius Slayton” data-reactid=”888″>WR5 Darius Slayton

Sterling Shepard” data-reactid=”889″>WR52 Sterling Shepard

Golden Tate (questionable)” data-reactid=”890″>NA Golden Tate (questionable)

Evan Engram” data-reactid=”891″>TE7 Evan Engram

 

Analysis coming Friday.

 

 

Myles Gaskin” data-reactid=”916″>RB38 Myles Gaskin

Jordan Howard” data-reactid=”917″>RB39 Jordan Howard

DeVante Parker (questionable)” data-reactid=”918″>NA DeVante Parker (questionable)

Preston Williams (Fantasy Usage Model Value)” data-reactid=”919″>WR29 Preston Williams (Fantasy Usage Model Value)

Mike Gesicki” data-reactid=”920″>TE18 Mike Gesicki

 

Ryan Fitzpatrick, but he’s not on the fantasy radar in bad matchups like this one. Vegas’ 17.5-point team total is enough to completely write him off. I bet Week 2 cameras pan towards Tua Tagovailoa on the bench as announcers wonder when Fitzpatrick’s starting job is taken away. … Athletic freak Mike Gesicki had the role we expected, running a route on 82% of dropbacks while playing detached from the offensive line on 87% of snaps. Gesicki’s “big slot” job is great for fantasy purposes, but the Dolphins’ early schedule against New England and Buffalo does him absolutely zero favors. Gesicki is better served as a TE2, who will have better games in easier contests. Buffalo was 2nd against fantasy tight ends in 2019 and shut down Chris Herndon to a 6-37-0 line on seven targets last week in what essentially is the same situation Gesicki’s in. … I’ll update DeVante Parker’s write up following official injury reports. … From The Fantasy Usage Model, “With CB Stephon Gilmore in coverage, Preston Williams struggled to produce in the box score, but Week 1 was still a positive for his 2020 outlook. He handled WR29 fantasy usage with seven targets and 104 air yards, and Parker left after aggravating his lingering hamstring injury. If Parker is out for Week 2, I’d be willing to start Williams even though he’ll be draped by CB Tre’Davious White and the Bills’ stud secondary. The usage is too much to ignore.” … If Parker is out, natural slot receiver Jakeem Grant (5’7/171) kicks to the outside, which is a disaster in every way, especially against Buffalo. In that case, 2018 seventh-round slot man Isaiah Ford (career 6.4 YPT) would have the best individual matchup of the group. Still, neither can be counted on despite their projected snap counts. … ” data-reactid=”923″>We root for Ryan Fitzpatrick, but he’s not on the fantasy radar in bad matchups like this one. Vegas’ 17.5-point team total is enough to completely write him off. I bet Week 2 cameras pan towards Tua Tagovailoa on the bench as announcers wonder when Fitzpatrick’s starting job is taken away. … Athletic freak Mike Gesicki had the role we expected, running a route on 82% of dropbacks while playing detached from the offensive line on 87% of snaps. Gesicki’s “big slot” job is great for fantasy purposes, but the Dolphins’ early schedule against New England and Buffalo does him absolutely zero favors. Gesicki is better served as a TE2, who will have better games in easier contests. Buffalo was 2nd against fantasy tight ends in 2019 and shut down Chris Herndon to a 6-37-0 line on seven targets last week in what essentially is the same situation Gesicki’s in. … I’ll update DeVante Parker’s write up following official injury reports. … From The Fantasy Usage Model, “With CB Stephon Gilmore in coverage, Preston Williams struggled to produce in the box score, but Week 1 was still a positive for his 2020 outlook. He handled WR29 fantasy usage with seven targets and 104 air yards, and Parker left after aggravating his lingering hamstring injury. If Parker is out for Week 2, I’d be willing to start Williams even though he’ll be draped by CB Tre’Davious White and the Bills’ stud secondary. The usage is too much to ignore.” … If Parker is out, natural slot receiver Jakeem Grant (5’7/171) kicks to the outside, which is a disaster in every way, especially against Buffalo. In that case, 2018 seventh-round slot man Isaiah Ford (career 6.4 YPT) would have the best individual matchup of the group. Still, neither can be counted on despite their projected snap counts. … 

Jordan Howard turned eight carries into seven yards (0.9 YPC) in Week 1, although he did score a goal-line touchdown. Howard is the best bet for RB3/4 production with Myles Gaskin next in line after leading the backfield in routes run (25). Matt Breida (23% snaps) can be safely dropped in most leagues.” data-reactid=”924″>This Miami running back committee will be a total headache and should be avoided in most leagues. Power back Jordan Howard turned eight carries into seven yards (0.9 YPC) in Week 1, although he did score a goal-line touchdown. Howard is the best bet for RB3/4 production with Myles Gaskin next in line after leading the backfield in routes run (25). Matt Breida (23% snaps) can be safely dropped in most leagues.

 

 

Frank Gore” data-reactid=”946″>NA Frank Gore

Jamison Crowder (questionable)” data-reactid=”948″>WR7 Jamison Crowder (questionable)

Breshad Perriman” data-reactid=”949″>WR76 Breshad Perriman

Chris Hogan” data-reactid=”950″>WR62 Chris Hogan

Chris Herndon” data-reactid=”951″>TE13 Chris Herndon

 

Sam Darnold has no chance with coach Adam Gase and this offensive line. Plus, there’s a chance Darnold just isn’t good enough himself. A 17.5-point team total against the 49ers defensive line is not the time to force a Darnold start in two-quarterback leagues, even if San Francisco’s secondary is massively banged up. … Chris Herndon had an impossible road matchup against an elite linebacker and safety corps in Buffalo to begin the season, but he checked every box in terms of usage. Herndon was the TE13 in fantasy usage and figures to be a garbage-time machine moving forward. The 49ers were 5th against fantasy tight ends last season. Herndon is a high-end TE2. … Everyone knows the Jets stink, but that doesn’t mean we completely ignore volume. Jamison Crowder proved worthwhile as a WR3/4 in Week 1 with his 37% target share and WR7 fantasy usage. His efficiency will be suspect at times — total duds are coming — but Crowder should even out as a top-30 receiver, if not higher in PPR leagues. His matchup inside is easier than the ones on the perimeter this week, making Crowder a recommended play. Crowder is the dog in the “this is fine” gif. … Breshad Perriman has some skill, but there’s no way we’re trotting him and his WR75 fantasy usage out in fantasy lineups against the ball-controlling 49ers. The good news, if any, is that CBs Richard Sherman (IR), Jason Verrett, and Ahkello Witherspoon all did not practice Wednesday. … Chris Hogan is the third receiver if you’re into that. … ” data-reactid=”954″>Sam Darnold has no chance with coach Adam Gase and this offensive line. Plus, there’s a chance Darnold just isn’t good enough himself. A 17.5-point team total against the 49ers defensive line is not the time to force a Darnold start in two-quarterback leagues, even if San Francisco’s secondary is massively banged up. … Chris Herndon had an impossible road matchup against an elite linebacker and safety corps in Buffalo to begin the season, but he checked every box in terms of usage. Herndon was the TE13 in fantasy usage and figures to be a garbage-time machine moving forward. The 49ers were 5th against fantasy tight ends last season. Herndon is a high-end TE2. … Everyone knows the Jets stink, but that doesn’t mean we completely ignore volume. Jamison Crowder proved worthwhile as a WR3/4 in Week 1 with his 37% target share and WR7 fantasy usage. His efficiency will be suspect at times — total duds are coming — but Crowder should even out as a top-30 receiver, if not higher in PPR leagues. His matchup inside is easier than the ones on the perimeter this week, making Crowder a recommended play. Crowder is the dog in the “this is fine” gif. … Breshad Perriman has some skill, but there’s no way we’re trotting him and his WR75 fantasy usage out in fantasy lineups against the ball-controlling 49ers. The good news, if any, is that CBs Richard Sherman (IR), Jason Verrett, and Ahkello Witherspoon all did not practice Wednesday. … Chris Hogan is the third receiver if you’re into that. … 

Frank Gore and total unknown Josh Adams. It’s an awful situation to invest in with Nick Bosa and company coming to eviscerate the Jets’ bottom-five offensive line. If forced to choose, I’d rather start Adams, who operated as the “lead back” after Bell departed in Week 1. It’s worth monitoring Kalen Ballage and Lamical Perine’s (ankle, DNP Wednesday) statuses as well.” data-reactid=”955″>Le’Veon Bell (hamstring) was about to have a three-down role and pay off as a low-end RB2, but he’s on injured reserve, opening up snaps and touches to 37-year-old wonder Frank Gore and total unknown Josh Adams. It’s an awful situation to invest in with Nick Bosa and company coming to eviscerate the Jets’ bottom-five offensive line. If forced to choose, I’d rather start Adams, who operated as the “lead back” after Bell departed in Week 1. It’s worth monitoring Kalen Ballage and Lamical Perine’s (ankle, DNP Wednesday) statuses as well.

 

 

Melvin Gordon” data-reactid=”977″>RB16 Melvin Gordon

Phillip Lindsay (questionable)” data-reactid=”978″>RB47 Phillip Lindsay (questionable)

Courtland Sutton (questionable)” data-reactid=”979″>NA Courtland Sutton (questionable)

Jerry Jeudy” data-reactid=”980″>WR31 Jerry Jeudy

Tim Patrick” data-reactid=”981″>WR73 Tim Patrick

KJ Hamler (questionable)” data-reactid=”982″>NA KJ Hamler (questionable)

Noah Fant” data-reactid=”983″>TE11 Noah Fant

 

Drew Lock has been inconsistent in all of his six starts, averaging a brutal 13.5 fantasy points per game (QB34 since 2019). A 17.0-point team total against a stud Steelers Defense is the easiest avoid spot in the history of fantasy sports. … In the season opener, Noah Fant looked like a first-round prospect with 99th-percentile athleticism. His TE11 fantasy usage from Monday will drop once Sutton returns, but he belongs on the TE1/2 borderline for as long as Sutton misses. This road matchup is so tough that Fant must be downgraded to the TE2 mix even if Sutton is out. The Steelers were 10th against fantasy tight ends in 2019 and held Evan Engram to 2.9 PPR points last week. … The WR analysis will be posted on Friday following official injury reports with Courtland Sutton (shoulder) on jumping jacks watch and KJ Hamler (hamstring) close to returning. …” data-reactid=”986″>Drew Lock has been inconsistent in all of his six starts, averaging a brutal 13.5 fantasy points per game (QB34 since 2019). A 17.0-point team total against a stud Steelers Defense is the easiest avoid spot in the history of fantasy sports. … In the season opener, Noah Fant looked like a first-round prospect with 99th-percentile athleticism. His TE11 fantasy usage from Monday will drop once Sutton returns, but he belongs on the TE1/2 borderline for as long as Sutton misses. This road matchup is so tough that Fant must be downgraded to the TE2 mix even if Sutton is out. The Steelers were 10th against fantasy tight ends in 2019 and held Evan Engram to 2.9 PPR points last week. … The WR analysis will be posted on Friday following official injury reports with Courtland Sutton (shoulder) on jumping jacks watch and KJ Hamler (hamstring) close to returning. …

Phillip Lindsay battling turf toe.” data-reactid=”987″>The RB analysis will be posted on Friday following official injury reports with Phillip Lindsay battling turf toe.

 

 

James Robinson” data-reactid=”1009″>RB37 James Robinson

D.J. Chark” data-reactid=”1011″>WR80 D.J. Chark

Laviska Shenault” data-reactid=”1012″>WR61 Laviska Shenault

Keelan Cole” data-reactid=”1013″>WR65 Keelan Cole

 

Gardner Minshew might be the most underrated quarterback right now. Since 2019, he’s the per-game QB14 in fantasy and was the third-most efficient quarterback of Week 1. His scrambling (26.8 rushing yards in career starts) and deep-ball accuracy are fantasy assets, particularly in garbage time. He’ll need those traits in Week 2 as 9-point road dogs against Tennessee, but I think he’ll backdoor as a QB2 once again. In fact, I like Jacksonville to exceed their 16.5-point team total here. … Tyler Eifert only ran a route on 55% of the Week 1 dropbacks and was only targeted once. At best, he’s a touchdown-dependent TE3. … The Jaguars oddly only attempted 20 passes in Week 1, which hurt D.J. Chark’s chances of paying off as a WR2/3. He’s a rebound candidate with more targets coming, especially with CB Adoree Jackson on injured reserve. Chark has averaged 14.0 PPR points with Minshew in 14 games. … Second-round rookie Laviska Shenault has first-round athleticism and potential. OC Jay Gruden moved him around the field in Week 1, scheming him touches throughout the game (video). Shenault ran a route on 62% of dropbacks and took a few wild cat snaps as well, a boast to his touchdown projection. Total play volume is a concern with Derrick Henry tasked with running out the clock, but Shenault is a quality bench stash in 10- and 12-team leagues. … I got a prediction wrong last week with team captain Chris Conley, who barely played (9 routes) with slot man Keelan Cole (22 routes) sliding into the starting lineup. Neither Cole, nor Conley are on the fantasy radar with Chark and Shenault operating as the more intriguing targets. … ” data-reactid=”1016″>Gardner Minshew might be the most underrated quarterback right now. Since 2019, he’s the per-game QB14 in fantasy and was the third-most efficient quarterback of Week 1. His scrambling (26.8 rushing yards in career starts) and deep-ball accuracy are fantasy assets, particularly in garbage time. He’ll need those traits in Week 2 as 9-point road dogs against Tennessee, but I think he’ll backdoor as a QB2 once again. In fact, I like Jacksonville to exceed their 16.5-point team total here. … Tyler Eifert only ran a route on 55% of the Week 1 dropbacks and was only targeted once. At best, he’s a touchdown-dependent TE3. … The Jaguars oddly only attempted 20 passes in Week 1, which hurt D.J. Chark’s chances of paying off as a WR2/3. He’s a rebound candidate with more targets coming, especially with CB Adoree Jackson on injured reserve. Chark has averaged 14.0 PPR points with Minshew in 14 games. … Second-round rookie Laviska Shenault has first-round athleticism and potential. OC Jay Gruden moved him around the field in Week 1, scheming him touches throughout the game (video). Shenault ran a route on 62% of dropbacks and took a few wild cat snaps as well, a boast to his touchdown projection. Total play volume is a concern with Derrick Henry tasked with running out the clock, but Shenault is a quality bench stash in 10- and 12-team leagues. … I got a prediction wrong last week with team captain Chris Conley, who barely played (9 routes) with slot man Keelan Cole (22 routes) sliding into the starting lineup. Neither Cole, nor Conley are on the fantasy radar with Chark and Shenault operating as the more intriguing targets. … 

James Robinson (5’10/220 pounds) was the power back with veteran Chris Thompson handling passing downs — all of Thompson’s snaps turned into routes. Week 2 projected game script as 9-point road dogs favors Thompson over Robinson, although neither belong inside top-30 RB rankings given Jacksonville’s league-low team total (16.5 points).” data-reactid=”1017″>As expected, UDFA rookie James Robinson (5’10/220 pounds) was the power back with veteran Chris Thompson handling passing downs — all of Thompson’s snaps turned into routes. Week 2 projected game script as 9-point road dogs favors Thompson over Robinson, although neither belong inside top-30 RB rankings given Jacksonville’s league-low team total (16.5 points).

 

 

 

 

Jets Defense allowed a league-high 81 offensive plays to the Bills last week. That’s great news for San Francisco. ” data-reactid=”1058″>This is still 2019 data points, but it’s important to find defenses that allow play volume. For example, the Jets Defense allowed a league-high 81 offensive plays to the Bills last week. That’s great news for San Francisco. 

 

 

Jamison Crowder and Preston Williams, assuming DeVante Parker and Courtland Sutton are out.” data-reactid=”1078″>The Ravens and Chiefs are always in eruption spots because their quarterbacks, but don’t sleep on the Cowboys, Packers, and 49ers aerial attacks this week. They’re teetering on eruption spots. On the flip side, the Jets, Broncos, and Dolphins are set up to fail in every way possible. The only receivers I’m interested in from those teams are Jamison Crowder and Preston Williams, assuming DeVante Parker and Courtland Sutton are out.

 

 

Derrick Henry might rush for a million yards this week, as will the Baltimore, Arizona, and Indianapolis committee backfields. Getting usage right will be key there. On the flip side, the Rams, Jets, and Bears are in iffy rushing situations in Week 2. ” data-reactid=”1098″>Derrick Henry might rush for a million yards this week, as will the Baltimore, Arizona, and Indianapolis committee backfields. Getting usage right will be key there. On the flip side, the Rams, Jets, and Bears are in iffy rushing situations in Week 2. 

 

 

 

 

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